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Jeu. 10 | Ven. 11 |
08:00
09:00
10:00
11:00
12:00
13:00
14:00
15:00
16:00
17:00
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8:00 - 8:45 (45min)
Registration.
Registration.
8:45 - 9:00 (15min)
Welcome address
Cécile Bastidon, Pierre Borgnat, Pablo Jensen, Antoine Parent, Patrice Abry (Chair of IXXI)
9:00 - 10:00 (1h)
“Ideas Versus Emotions and End of the Ancien Régime: What Can Textual Analysis Reveal?”
Steven Durlauf (Univ. Chicago, Stone Center)
10:00 - 12:30 (2h30)
Session 1: Structural Breaks in History and the CAC Method (Plenary session)
------- [#1] Masahiro KUBO (Université Clermont Auvergne, CNRS, IRD, CERDI), Jihad over Centuries, with Shunsuke Tsuda (Univ. of Essex) ------- [#2] Julia SCHLOSSER (Univ. of Bern), The Economic and Migratory Effects of Bushfires in 20th-Century South-Eastern Australia, with Costanza Fileccia (Univ. of Bern) ------- [#3] Sergi LOZANO (Institute of Complex System, Department of Economic History, Univ. of Barcelona), Beyond the ‘Cobden-Chevalier network’: A multiplex approach to the co-evolution of preferential agreements and trade flows during the First Globalisation, with Emanuelle Cozzo (Univ. of Barcelona), Luce Prignano (Univ. of Barcelona) and Marc Badia-Miró (Univ. of Barcelona) ------- [#4] Kristina BUTAEVA (Univ. Chicago), Intergenerational Mobility in Late Qing Dynasty China: Evidence from the Liaoning Province, with Steven Durlauf (Univ. Chicago) and Alexander Shapoval (Univ. Lodz)
14:00 - 15:00 (1h)
“The only long-run growth trajectory is a green trajectory: results from the Dystopian Schumpeter meeting Keynes model”
Andrea Roventini (Univ. Santa Anna Pisa)
15:00 - 17:30 (2h30)
Session 2 : The CAC Method and the Analysis of Institutions and Regimes in History (Plenary session)
------ [#1] Gilles LE GARREC (OFCE, Sciences Po Paris, France), On the Long-Term Persistence of Welfare-State Regimes ------- [#2] Matias CABELLO (Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Germany), The rise of science, cognitive limitations, and the origins steady growth: A new Kaldor fact, a new growth paradigm? ------- [#3] Etienne FARVAQUE (Univ. Lille, LEM), Discipline me if you can! Monetary Regimes and Monetary Political Cycles in the United Kingdom (1870- 2020), with Antoine Parent (Univ. Paris 8, OFCE & CAC-IXXI) and Elie Israël (Univ. Lille, LEM) ------- [#4] Eric Roca Fernandez (UCA), Geographic Mortality Differentials and the Quality- Quantity Trade-Off: Evidence from 19th-century Armenia, with Sinara Gharibyan (aCERGE‐EI, Prague and bIOS, Regensburg) and David Gomtsyan (Univ. Pompeu Fabra)
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9:00 - 10:00 (1h)
“Farm Size, Pesticides & Biodiversity: Bio-Economic Models for Sustainable Agri-Policy”
Michael Benzaquem (CNRS, Ecole Polytechnique)
10:00 - 12:30 (2h30)
Session 3: Econophysics and Complex Systems (Plenary session)
------- [#1] Alexander SHAPOVAL (University of Lodz), Forecasting the Termination of Quasi-Cycles in the Manna Model of Self-Organized Criticality: Efficient Prediction and Poisson Event Rates -------- [#2] Stéphane LOISEL (CNAM, Paris), On the mortality of regiments during WW1, with Antoine Parent (LED, Univ. Paris 8) and Gilles Gaba (Actuariatech) -------- [#3] Cécile BASTIDON (Univ. Toulon, OFCE, CAC-IXXI), «Clio Crises Toolbox» & Team Cliometrics & Complexity – IXXI -------- [#4] Pierre BORGNAT (ENS Lyon, Department of Physics), Learning smooth graphs with sparse temporal variations to explore long-term financial trends) & Team Cliometrics & Complexity – IXXI.
12:30 - 13:00 (30min)
Concluding remarks
Antoine Parent
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